Hoop-a-nator


THE HOOP-A-NATOR’S MARCH MADNESS RESULTS

Games Won

37

Games Lost

25

Pushes

1

Starting Balance

$1,270

Current Balance

$2,054

(+64%)

Net Winnings

$1,066

Friday, April 5, 2022

With David Barrett’s One Shining Moment filling the air and Bill Self and the Kansas Jayhawks winning their 4th National Championship trophy, it’s hard not to feel heartbreak in that, once again, your team finished the season—and a crazy tournament— with a loss (unless you’re a joyful Jayhawks fan), and that last night was the last college basketball game for seven months. 

Fortunately, as melancholy fills the Hoop-a-Nator war room, Evolytics is proud to announce we turned our starting balance of $1,280 into a $2,054.83 donation to support the American Lung Association’s meaningful work. Our expertise in advanced analytics, machine learning, and years of historical data led to the development of the Hoop-a-Nator, which we hope aided in choosing enough winning picks to contribute toward a working for a world free of lung disease.

With all 63 March Madness games completed, let’s review some of the Hoop-a-Nator’s 2022 highlights:

Final Record ATS: (37-25-1) Current Balance: $2,054.83 (+62%)

HIGHLIGHTS:

  • In the Sweet Sixteen, we went 8-0 for a net profit of $959 (+76%)
  • In the Round of 32 and the Sweet Sixteen combined, we went 19-5 for a net profit of $1,346 (+106%)
  • In games with a perceived edge between 3 and 7 the model was 13-3

March Madness is always the best tournament of the year, and with the success of Evolytics’ Hoop-a-Nator, this March Madness was an all-time great one! Big thanks to the American Lung Association for their partnering and all their good work. Our mission is to Make a Positive Difference with Data—and we hope this donation makes a positive difference for the people served by the American Lung Association!

2022 Hoop-a-nator Game Changer

For the 2022 NCAA tournament the Evolytics team used our custom built, Predictive Analytics application—Hoop-a-nator—to enter bracket contests and bet on the NCAA tournament games in Las Vegas. We’re so confident in it’s predictions (or maybe we were just crazy) that start out by putting up $1,000 of our own cash (plus what others add) to bet on the games, with proceeds going to a deserving organization that directly touches more than 20 million Americans each year and supports millions of Americans with a pioneering model of education, advocacy, and research, the American Lung Association.

View our data science-based picks below, and check back to see what we’re betting on and how we’re performing in each round. Let the Madness begin!

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DOMINATE YOUR BRACKET WITH AI

Whether you’re a sports fan or not, now you can dramatically improve your odds of picking winning teams in the NCAA tournament by putting 30+ years of game data, math, and predictive analytics on your side. Just pick two teams to see predicted winners, point spreads and total points from two different models.

NATIONAL CHAMPION GAME PICK

Friday, April 4, 2022

It’s championship day! We went 1-1 over the weekend, hitting on the North Carolina game, and what a game. Villanova didn’t look the same without Justin Moore and KU ended up beating them handily. We should have a high scoring affair tonight in what looks to be a great matchup. Our model favors KU by 4.75 points, so we will take the favorite and laying down $200 to ensure we can donate at least $2,000 to the American Lung Association.

Championship Game Betting and Predicted Score:

  • Kansas -4.0  (Kansas 74.88  – Villanova 70.12)

FINAL FOUR PICKS

Friday, April 1, 2022

It’s Final Four weekend and the slate is packed with blue blood programs. Even after going 1-3 in the Elite Eight, the Hoop-a-Nator is still up nearly $1,000 and sits with a 60% winning percentage. Our model still favors the underdogs this weekend but be cautious as it doesn’t account for injuries (Villanova’s Justin Moore). We are betting conservatively in the Final Four to ensure we can donate at least $1,600 to the American Lung Association.

Hoop-a-Nator Final Four Stats:

Games Won

1

Games Lost

1

Pushes

0

Bet Amount

$400

Net Winnings

-$20

Final Four Bets and Predicted Scores (April 2, 2022):

  1. Villanova +4.5  (Kansas 66.59 – Villanova 66.41)
  2. North Carolina +4 (Duke 74.49 – North Carolina 70.52)

ELITE EIGHT PICKS

Monday, March 28, 2022

The tournament trend of underdogs prevailing corrected itself in the Elite Eight with 3 out of 4 favorites covering the spread. Anticipating this possibility, we only bet 33% of our bankroll on the round since the Hoop-a-Nator predicted all underdogs. We spread $810 evenly across the four Elite Eight games and came out down $428 for the round. Fortunately, we’re still up more than $1000 for the tournament and sit with a 36-23-1 record. Stay tuned for our Final Four picks on Friday!

Hoop-a-Nator Elite Eight Stats:

Games Won

1

Games Lost

3

Pushes

0

Bet Amount

$810

Net Winnings

-$428

Saturday, March 26, 2022

PERFECTION! Not only is March Madness the most perfect time of the year, but our model was a perfect 8-0 in the Sweet Sixteen matchups. We pushed our total winnings up to $1,413, and with the four Elite Eight matchups we look to continue the success with another four of our best bets. The Hoop-A-Nator model predicts a tie between Villanova and Houston, so watch for an exciting game there, and the trend of picking the underdog continues with all four bets going against the favorite.

Elite 8 Bets and Predicted Scores (March 26-27, 2022):

  1. Villanova +2.5  (Houston 63  – Villanova 63)
  2. Arkansas +4 (Duke 75.21  – Arkansas 73.79)
  3. Miami +6 (Kansas 74.12 – Miami 69.88)
  4. Saint Peters +8 (North Carolina 72.23 – Saint Peters 66.77)

SWEET 16 PICKS

Hoop-a-Nator Sweet 16 Stats:

Games Won

8

Games Lost

0

Pushes

0

Bet Amount

$998

Net Winnings

$1,093

Thursday, March 24, 2022

The 2022 Sweet 16 starts today and we’re ready with some tasty picks! So far in the tournament, underdogs are covering the spread 46% of the time, and the Hoop-a-Nator’s third-round picks continue this trend. The only two favorites we predict will cover the spread this round are Miami, Fla. and Villanova. Our model also thinks Houston will beat Arizona outright, and Duke will beat Texas Tech. We bet $998 this round, so stay tuned to see if our donation pool of winnings for the American Lung Association keeps growing!

Sweet 16 Bets and Predicted Scores (March 24-25, 2022):

  1. Arkansas +9.5 (Gonzaga 76.03 – Arkansas 70.98)
  2. Villanova -5 (Villanova 69.49 – Michigan 63.51)
  3. Duke +0 (Duke 67.02 – Texas Tech 65.98)
  4. Houston +1.5 (Houston 71.09 – Arizona 69.91)
  5. Saint Peters -12.5 (Purdue 71.57 –  Saint Peters 64.43)
  6. Providence +7.5 (Kansas 70.91 – Providence 70.09)
  7. North Carolina +2.5 (UCLA 70.50 – North Carolina 69.51)
  8. Miami FL -2.5 (Miami FL 70.68 – Iowa State 67.32)

OUR ROUND OF 32 PICKS

Monday, March 21, 2022

The Hoop-a-nator had a great second round, going 11-5 with a net profit of $375! Our model favors the underdogs, so we heavily weighted our bets on the four games where it handily predicted the favorites to win (Providence, Villanova, Wisconsin, Purdue)—and it paid off. We’re finding the model’s sweet spot and it’s now 16-4 where the difference between our spread and Vegas’ is between 2-6 points. View results of our picks after round 2 below, and check back on Thursday, 3/24 for our Sweet 16 picks.

Hoop-a-Nator Round of 32 Stats:

Games Won

11

Games Lost

5

Pushes

0

Bet Amount

$1,057

Net Winnings

$355

Saturday, March 19, 2022

Evolytics landed in the GREEN after the Round of 64—up $46 with a 16-15-1 record! The Hoop-a-Nator yielded an impressive 62% win rate on games 6 points or lower (12-7). With the round of 32 starting soon, we have our picks LOCKED IN! Check out the picks below:

Round of 32 Bets and Predicted Scores (March 19-20, 2022):

  1. Baylor -5 (UNC 67.95 – Baylor 73.05)
  2. Creighton +11.5 (Creighton 66.57 – Kansas 71.42)
  3. Michigan + 6.5 (Michigan 65.28 – Tenn 70.72)
  4. Providence -4 (Richmond 64.40 – Providence 70.59)
  5. Saint Marys +2.5 (Saint Marys 68.89 – UCLA 71.10)
  6. Saint Peters +8.5 (Saint Peters 64.08 – Murray St 69.91)
  7. New Mex St +6.5 (New Mex St 66.91 – Arkansas 72.09)
  8. Memphis +9.5 (Memphis 67.30 – Gonzaga 73.69)
  9. Miami FL +7.5 (Miami FL 72.61 – Auburn 74.38)
  10. Michigan St +6.5 (Mich St 69.22 – Duke 73.78)
  11. Purdue -3.5 (Texas 65.11 – Purdue 68.89)
  12. Notre Dame +7.5 (Notre Dame 63.76 – TTech 68.23)
  13. Illinois +4.5 (Houston 65.42 – Illinois 67.57)
  14. Wisconsin -4.5 (ISU 65.27 – Wisconsin 71.72)
  15. TCU +9.5 (TCU 67.4 – Arizona 73.6)
  16. Villanova -5.5 (Ohio St 60.58 – Villanova 68.41

OUR ROUND OF 64 PICKS

Hoop-a-Nator Round of 64 Stats:

Games Won

16

Games Lost

15

Pushes

1

Bet Amount

$928

Net Winnings

$26

Thursday, March 17, 2022

As we kick off the first round of the 2022 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament today, let’s get a WOOF WOOF in the house! The Evolytics Hoop-a-Nator is beginning with a clean slate, and boy do we have an underdog slate for you all! These are 32 of our best bets for the first round, all weighted slightly different based on perceived edge, to provide the maximum winning potential. Check out the picks below:

Round of 64 Bets and Predicted Scores (March 17-18, 2022):

  1. Colorado State +1.5 (Predicted Final Score: Mich 66.59 – CSU 65.42)
  2. Providence -2 (Prov 72.52 – SDSU 69.48)
  3. Boise State +3 (BSU 66.94 – Memphis 65.06)
  4. Norfolk State +20.5 (Baylor 70.99 – NSU 67.01)
  5. Longwood +18 (Tenn 69.47 – Longwood 63.53)
  6. Richmond +10.5 (Iowa 73.19 – Richmond 67.81)
  7. Georgia St +23.5 (Gonzaga 74.17 – Georgia St 65.83)
  8. Marquette +3.5 (UNC 76.50 – Marquette 73.50)
  9. New Mexico State +6.5 (UCONN 66.53 –  NMSU 62.47)
  10. St Peters +18 (Kentucky 71.98 – St. Peters 65.02)
  11. Indiana +2.5 (St. Marys 70.45 – IU 69.55)
  12. Creighton +2 (Creighton 62 – SDSU 62)
  13. Vermont +5 (Arkansas 72.27 – Vermont 71.73)
  14. Murray St -2 (Murray St 69.96 – San Fran 67.04)
  15. Akron +13.5 (UCLA 66.99 – Akron 66.01)
  16. Texas Southern +21.5 (KU 75.39 – TSU 67.61)
  17. Ohio State PK (OSU 69.03 – Loyola Chicago 62.97)
  18. Jacksonville St +14.5 (Auburn 73.29 – JSU 68.71)
  19. Montana St +14.5 (TTU 66.8 – Montant St 62.2)
  20. Yale +16 (Purdue 71.93 – Yale 65.08)
  21. Delaware +15.5 (Villanova 62.66 – DU 58.34)
  22. Miami FL +1.5 (USC 67.51 – 66.49)
  23. Notre Dame +4 (NDU 76.50 – Alabama 74.50)
  24. Virginia Tech +1 (VA Tech 70.52 – Texas 68.48) 
  25. Chattanooga +8 (Illinois 66.06 – Chatt 64.94)
  26. Cal St Fullerton +16.5 (Duke 71.49 – CSFU 64.51)
  27. Iowa St +4 (LSU 70.55 – ISU 67.45)
  28. Wright State +21.5 (Arizona 76.65 – Wright St 68.35) 
  29. UAB +8.5 (Houston 76.92 – UAB  69.08)
  30. Davidson +1 (Davidson 69.38 – Mich St 66.63)
  31. Colgate +8 (Wisconsin 71.56 – Colgate 66.44)
  32. Seton Hall -1 (Seton Hall 64.85 – TCU 63.15)